📊 [XWIN Index|May 13, 2025 | 7:00 AM JST]
🧮 XWIN Index Score: 72 / 100 (Down 4 points from previous day)
This index is a short- to mid-term indicator forecasting Bitcoin's trend one month ahead.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: $61.24B (Approx. 602.36K BTC) [+25.3%]
→ Significant liquidation ($215.00M+) triggered renewed activity among short-term traders.
→ ETF buying and easing of U.S.-China tariffs have supported buybacks.
2. MACD (1H Chart): Death Cross Still Active
→ Momentum has weakened sharply after the drop. A bottoming phase may take time.
3. MVRV: 2.26 (Down 0.05 from previous day)
→ Still at high unrealized profit levels, but overheating has slightly cooled.
→ STH MVRV at 1.09 shows short-term holders are near breakeven levels.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 73 (Down 2 points)
→ Optimism remains strong, but cooled slightly due to recent price dip.
5. Open Interest: 653.96K BTC (~$66.71B) [+1.31%]
→ Small drops seen in CME and Binance, but overall OI increased.
→ Depth remains, with buy support observed post-drop.
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💵 Stablecoin Trends (See images):
📌 USDT (Tether)
• Market Cap: $149.9B (+0.06%)
• Volume: $125.9B (+29.99%)
→ Indicates strong capital inflow and short-term buying power.
📌 USDC (Circle)
• Market Cap: $60.44B (-0.55%)
• Volume: $14.49B (+42.95%)
→ Stable usage rising in response to volatility.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
• Market Cap: $14.42M (±0.00%)
• Volume: $45.99K (+76.36%)
→ Sudden volume surge may suggest growing domestic utility.
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🌏 Key X (Twitter) Buzz:
• MACD strongly negative; signs of rebound will require new catalysts
• Bhutan's sovereign fund reportedly holds over $1B in BTC
• IBIT, Vanguard, and Strategy continue ETF accumulation
• U.S.-China mutual tariff cuts (145% → 30%) boost sentiment
• ETH outperforming BTC — potential start of ALTSEASON
• CoinShares: +$882.00M digital asset inflow last week (BTC: $867.00M)
• Uniswap hits $3T in cumulative trading volume — DEX milestone
• BTC ETFs now hold 1.175M BTC, nearing all-time high (1.182M BTC)
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✅ Overall Assessment:
• Technicals weakened (MACD drop) and MVRV retreat signals short-term risk.
• However, strong Open Interest and stablecoin inflows suggest solid support below.
→ XWIN Index adjusted to 72 points (↓4).
Phase shift to "neutral with pullback caution and macro focus."
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📈 Strategy Tips:
• $100,800–101,500: Key support zone, potential for rebound
• $104,500: Short-term resistance, watch for selling pressure
• Below $99,000: Trend reversal alert
→ Technicals unstable — avoid aggressive moves, wait for confirmed setups.
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