XRP traders are optimistic about the approval of an ETF, expecting it to reach a historical high in 2025, with the approval probability rising to 85%.
Background Information: XRP's price dropped 5% in the past 24 hours, influenced by U.S. GDP data indicating economic contraction that triggered recession concerns. However, the market structure is strengthening, with investors increasingly optimistic about the approval of a U.S. spot XRP ETF. In the short term, XRP may return to its April high of $2.36.
Key Events: Technical charts show XRP is in a bullish descending wedge pattern. If it breaks through the $2.40 resistance level, the target price could reach $3.74, a 71% increase. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates the market still leans bullish. Analysts generally expect XRP to recover to its historical highs, with some traders predicting prices could even reach $19.27.
Increased ETF Approval Probability: A senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg stated that with leadership changes at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the approval probability for five spot XRP ETFs—including Grayscale, 21Shares, WisdomTree, Bitwise, Canary, and Franklin Templeton—has risen to 85%. The Polymarket platform's XRP ETF approval probability has also increased to 80%. The SEC has postponed the decision on Franklin Templeton's spot XRP ETF to June 17.
Potential Impact: Approval of the ETF would attract institutional funds, driving demand for XRP and promoting its mainstream adoption. Although the approval timeline remains uncertain, this move is significant for the XRP market.
Special Note: This article does not constitute investment advice. Investments carry risks, and readers should conduct their own research. SoSoValue provides related images and data support.